December 28, 2024: Geoffrey Hinton, widely regarded as the "godfather" of artificial intelligence (AI), has issued a stark warning about the potential dangers of unregulated AI development, stating there is a 10–20% chance that the technology could lead to human extinction within the next three decades.
Hinton, a British-Canadian computer scientist and recent recipient of the Nobel Prize in Physics for his pioneering work in AI, shared his alarming prediction during an interview on BBC Radio 4's Today programme. Reflecting on the growing risks associated with AI, Hinton noted, "If anything, the odds have increased. We've never had to deal with things more intelligent than ourselves before."
Highlighting the challenges of controlling advanced AI systems, Hinton pointed out that there are few examples in nature of a less intelligent entity successfully managing a more intelligent one. "Evolution put a lot of work into allowing a baby to control its mother," he explained, "but that's about the only example I know of."
Hinton's comments come amid escalating concerns about the rapid pace of AI advancements and their potential to outpace human oversight. Since stepping down from his role at Google in 2023, Hinton has become an outspoken advocate for increased regulation and ethical scrutiny of AI development. His resignation was driven by a desire to speak openly about the potential hazards posed by AI, including its misuse by "bad actors" for destructive purposes.
Earlier this year, Hinton admitted regret for not prioritizing safety in the early stages of his work, acknowledging the role AI could play in amplifying global threats, such as escalating arms races. He has since emphasized the urgency of addressing these risks to avoid catastrophic outcomes.
Hinton's warning serves as a sobering reminder of the double-edged nature of technological progress. As AI continues to reshape industries and societies, experts like Hinton are calling for a more cautious approach to ensure the technology benefits humanity rather than jeopardizing its survival.